How Many Wins for UGA Football This Season?
By John Buhler
As it is with most seasons in the Mark Richt Era, UGA football expects to contend for an SEC Championship in 2015. Georgia has one of the best running games and linebacker groups in the nation. But the SEC tends to cannibalize itself during conference play as College Football’s deepest and toughest Power 5 conference. With reasonably high expectations, how many wins for UGA football this year?
-= Related: Can Terry Godwin Be an Impact Freshman for the Dawgs? =-
Since Mark Richt took over as Georgia Head Coach in 2001, only once has his team finished with a sub-.500 (6-7 in 2010). So UGA is essentially a guarantee to make it to a bowl game every year. I see Georgia winning five games fairly easily in 2015 (ULM, Southern, Georgia Southern, Vanderbilt, and Kentucky). There is no such thing as a lock in football, but these games would be major upsets should Georgia not win them this fall.
Georgia gets South Carolina at home this year and away from crowing roosters and ‘Sandstorm’. Though the Head Ball Coach Steve Spurrier usually has Mark Richt’s number when their teams meet, UGA just feels like a more complete football team than USC going into 2015. And playing the Gamecocks at Sanford Stadium is a huge advantage for the Dawgs. I think Georgia gets their revenge on their Eastern rival after the Credit Card game in 2014.
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Anything and everything can and will happen in the WLOCP. Georgia choked last year against the Gators in Jacksonville against a backup QB Treon Harris who only threw the ball five times against the Dawgs. Will Muschamp just had to run counters off the guard’s right shoulder at Leonard Floyd to keep his job for the time being with Florida.
Jim McElwain comes to Gainesville after a successful stint in Fort Collins with the Colorado State Rams. A disciple of the Nick Saban Coaching Tree, Jimmy Mac will have the Gators back to relevancy here shortly. But after a lousy recruiting year in 2015 for the Gators due to the uncertainty at HC, Florida may not have enough firepower to best UGA this fall. If Georgia’s QB, whomever ends up winning the competition, avoids throwing the football in CB Vernon Hargreaves III’s general direction, I like Georgia to beat their arch nemesis on Halloween. Just run the darn ball!
Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate will take place in Bobby Stadium this fall, a place that Mark Richt has never lost. Though Georgia Tech did beat the Dawgs in the Classic City last November, I don’t think UGA wants to know what a losing streak to GT feels like. Both UGA and GT have serious College Football Playoff aspirations in 2015 and a win for the Dawgs over the Jackets should only bolster Georgia’s resume for the 12-man committee.
So with victories in the previously mentioned eight games, how does UGA stack up against the four other SEC teams it will play in 2015? Alabama and Auburn both are major contenders in the SEC West for not only a Conference Championship, but also a National Title. Missouri and Tennessee seem like the main competition for the Dawgs coming out of the East. I don’t think Georgia sweeps these four teams en route to a perfect 12-0 regular season. I like the Dawgs’ chances to go 3-1 or 2-2. Just to play it safe, the Georgia Way, I’ll say that UGA goes 10-2 (6-2) during the regular season this fall.
With a 6-2 SEC record, that maybe enough to get the Dawgs to the SEC Championship, assuming that Georgia holds the tiebreaker over budding rival Mizzou. Do we really want to see the Tigers win the East three years in a row? If Georgia were to win the East, the team could play any Western opponent in the Championship (okay, maybe not Arkansas or Texas A&M). It doesn’t happen very often for a rematch to occur in the Conference Title Game, but whoever wins the Iron Bowl seems like a likely opponent for the Dawgs at the Georgia Dome.
In rematch games, normally the team who lost previously has the edge going into Game Two. So I like Georgia’s chances to beat either Alabama or Auburn in the SEC Championship should UGA lose the first game to either team in 2015. Or one of the those Western powerhouses could easily blow out the Dawgs in Atlanta. That’s a likely scenario, too.
Depending on how the season goes for the Bulldogs, Mark Richt usually gets his team fired up for a relatively meaningless Bowl Game. Unless the Dawgs plays someone like Michigan State or Big Ten Rival Nebraska, I think Georgia wins their bowl game if the Dawgs miss the CFP. That would put them at a 10-4, 11-3 record, assuming a berth to the SEC Championship Game.
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Should Georgia do something the Dawgs haven’t done in a decade and win the SEC, I think a 12-1, 11-2 record coming out of the SEC would get UGA into the College Football Playoff. That being said, I don’t see Georgia as a 1 or 2-seed in the Playoff as Ohio State and TCU could both go undefeated in during the regular season. As much as I want to see Georgia win the 2nd Annual College Football Playoff, I wouldn’t say UGA is a favorite to win it all should the team make it to the National Semifinals.
So Georgia will probably lose at least twice this season. That’s life and we’re used to it. I think going 11-3 with an SEC Championship appearance and a New Year’s Six Bowl Game sounds reasonable for a team that hasn’t named a starting quarterback yet. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst: The Georgia Way.
Next: Who Wins The Starting Center Job For UGA?
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